Shorter-term stock volatility expectations have dropped to their lowest levels in more than 4 years. We’ve covered the term structure of stock volatility indices on…
Tagged $^VIX
Stocks AND Volatility Indices Both Jump — Who’s Right?
Today saw the VIX solidly higher despite the fact that stocks rallied hard; what do similar precedents tell us? Markets have been on a parade…
Does This Signal Mean Smooth Sailing For Santa Rally?
The VIX just notched a 3-month low; previous early-December occurrences have been generous to stock investors. With 2017 fast approaching, all matters of year-end and…
Traders Getting A Little Too Comfortable In Stocks?
Near-term volatility expectations have plunged to record lows. Trader sentiment has officially come full circle following the election. On November 1, we observed that “Investors…
Traders Breathe Unprecedented Sigh Of Relief Following Election
Stock market volatility expectations saw the biggest drop on record following the election. In the buildup to the presidential election, we queried whether “Investors Were…
Investors (Over?-)Prepared For Election Volatility
Despite an unseasonably calm stock market, relative near-term volatility expectations have jumped to the 3rd highest level in their 3-year history. It’s no secret that…
Traders Quickly Get Comfortable With Stocks Again
Short-term volatility expectations plummeted during Wednesday’s post-Federal Reserve meeting stock market rally. As readers are likely aware, our biggest concern regarding stocks going into September…
Stocks Suffer Unprecedented Volatility Shock
Following a record tight 2-month trading range, the stock market exploded with 3 consecutive 1%+ moves; what’s next? Following our myriad of “narrowest range ever!” posts…
Investor Complacency Is Smashing Records
Near-term volatility expectations are currently on a stretch of unprecedentedly low levels. About a month ago, we began to take note of investor complacency creeping…
Is Smart Money Holding A Record Bet On Volatility Rise?
Commercial hedgers – who are most often correctly positioned at market turns – are currently holding their largest ever net long position in VIX futures.…