Stocks scored big gains for January; historically, this has (almost) invariably been a good sign for the rest of the year. Unless you’ve been in…
Tagged Seasonality
Does Stocks’ Fast Start Bode Well For Another Good Year?
The U.S. stock market is off to a fast start again in 2018; historically, this has been a portent of further gains every time. We…
The January Bear-ometer
Very weak January’s have had a tendency to lead to weak long-term returns in the stock market. Investors must be thinking, “thank God February is…
Odds Favor A Year-End Rally…After A New Low
August 6-month lows have had a tendency to be broken in the coming months, prior to a year-end bounce. After getting kicked in the teeth…
A LOT Riding On Last Day Of The Quarter
Could the fate of the rest of this Presidential Cycle be riding on the stock market’s close tomorrow? Okay, that may be a bit hyperbolic.…
In The Presidential Cycle, April May Hold The Key For Year 3
On Tuesday, we discussed the likelihood of the stock market making a new high during the month of April. In this post, we show why…
How Likely Are New Stock Highs In April?
With the month of March and the 1st quarter just about in the books, it’s time to take a peak ahead. Spring has arrived and…
Should Investors Really Be Wary Of The Ides Of March?
The “Ides of March” corresponds to March 15th in the Roman calendar. The term became popularized in Shakespeare’s play “Julius Caesar” in which the emperor…
Should You Break Up With Stocks?
In a February 9 post titled Seasonal Trend Says Date This Market, Don’t Commit, we looked at historical market tendencies when a weak January was…
Seasonal Trend Says Date This Market, Don’t Commit
The stock market chop continued last week with major indices rallying from the bottom of the 2-month range to back near the top. With Valentine’s…